The Central Bank of Malta closely monitors the outlook for the Maltese economy. Forecasts for key macroeconomic variables such as the gross domestic product and its components, as well as employment and unemployment, inflation and developments in public finances are published three times a year; namely in the Bank's Annual Report (published in March), in June and in December. The forecasts cover the current year and three years ahead.
Media release: Central Bank of Malta Macroeconomic Forecasts
Latest projections (299kb)
Archive of earlier published projections
Throughout the years the Central Bank of Malta has built a forecasting process designed to produce consistent, transparent and plausible forecasts of macroeconomic, fiscal and inflation variables. Projections are typically conditioned on a set of technical assumptions which the European Central Bank transmits to all euro area National Central Banks. This process is described below:
The Forecasting Process at the Central Bank of Malta